Solutions

Migration

Some people will choose to move as a way of adapting to climate change – but they need options to do so.

Video/Vlad Sokhin

Video/Vlad Sokhin

Migration – whether internal or across international borders – can be a vital tool for people living in areas where climate change poses risks to land, lives and livelihoods. It can allow people to move out of harm’s way before disaster strikes – safely, and on their own terms. In this sense, it can be a climate adaptation and risk-management strategy.

Choosing to move may also prevent future displacement, providing a kind of release valve by reducing pressure on limited resources in a place vulnerable to
climate risks.

Millions of people are already on the move in an ad hoc way, notes Alex Randall, the program lead at the Climate and Migration Coalition, a civil society organisation dedicated to understanding the links between climate change and migration.

‘Their journeys are often difficult and dangerous – even if they don’t cross international borders. People are often exploited in their new work environments or struggle to access healthcare and housing. But what if people were supported to make these journeys? What if people were protected from the new risks they faced? What if new work opportunities were created for people to move to? This would harness and amplify an existing migratory trend and open it up to new people. This is what “migration as adaptation” means,’ Randall writes.

Done well, migration can be a win-win, benefiting migrants and the countries to which they move. For instance, in the Pacific, the region’s ‘stability and prosperity ... directly impacts Australia,’ says the Kaldor Centre’s Director, Professor Jane McAdam. ‘Australia, in turn, benefits from the economic and social contributions made by Pacific people here.’ The Lowy Institute has pointed out that if only one per cent of the Pacific’s relatively small population were permitted to work permanently in Australia, this would bring more benefits to the people of the Pacific than Australia’s aid contribution. Migration can enhance the resilience of those who move, as well as those who stay behind, who may benefit from the increased flow of information and resources that migration generates.

The need for, and benefits of, migration in the context of climate change and disasters are being recognised around the world. A 2021 report from the Biden White House stated that migration is not only ‘an important form of adaptation to the impacts of climate change’, but sometimes ‘an essential response’. The report acknowledged that permanent, and not just temporary, migration pathways are needed. It also recommended new protection pathways for people facing serious threats to their lives because of climate change, noting this is a compelling issue of US national interest. [See Solutions: Protection.] In November 2023, Tuvalu and Australia announced a new bilateral treaty which, among other things, creates a ‘special human mobility pathway’ for Tuvaluans to work, study and live in Australia. Framed in the context of climate change, this new scheme will initially allow up to 280 Tuvaluans (from a population of around 11,200) to migrate to Australia each year.

Of course, migration is not always rosy and can carry risks of discrimination, exploitation and abuse. That is why adequate safeguards must be put in place to ensure that migrants are treated in accordance with human rights and labour law standards and have access to local support and services.

And not everyone wants to migrate. In the Pacific, for instance, people’s prior experiences of migration or relocation, their religious beliefs, their age and their connections to land all affect how they view migration as a response to climate impacts. Some Pacific countries have shifted their approach over time – from outward-focused advocacy on ‘migration with dignity’, to a more inward focus on resilience-building and/or internal movement.

Boy at rustic window overlooking Pacific seas

Image/Vlad Sokhin

Image/Vlad Sokhin

‘Rather than thinking of migration as climate adaptation as simply “a good thing,” it’s better to see some versions of it as worth fighting for.’
Alex Randall

How can we facilitatemigration as adaptation?


That migration can be a form of adaptation to climate change is reflected in multiple international frameworks, including the 2018 Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration. With this landmark political agreement, 152 countries committed to ‘improving cooperation on international migration’ and explicitly recognised the nexus between migration and disasters, including both sudden- or slow-onset disasters.

By endorsing the Compact, countries further committed to enhancing resilience, creating conditions that allow people to lead satisfactory lives in their own countries and ensuring ‘that desperation and deteriorating environments do not compel them to seek a livelihood elsewhere through irregular migration’, stated Professor Walter Kälin, the Special Envoy of the Chair of the Platform on Disaster Displacement. The Compact recommends that governments issue temporary work permits or visa options for permanent stay abroad (as well as humanitarian visas and options for planned relocation), but, as Kälin has noted, whether or how these are realised will very much depend on political will.

There is no general right to migrate in international law. People’s ability to move safely and lawfully is largely conditional on countries’ immigration settings. So, international efforts to address migration in the context of climate change need to focus on encouraging countries to develop migration pathways that give people at risk of the impacts of climate change and disasters early options to move.

Tapping existing migration programs in a new way

In the 2023 Pacific Regional Framework on Climate Mobility, Pacific leaders recognised ‘the critical role that rights-based migration – whether internal or cross-border – can play in enabling people to move safely and on their own terms in the context of climate change’. They also noted that existing migration pathways – such as for education, work or family reunion – may already enable some people to move away from the impacts of climate change. Provided that people meet the criteria, existing visa categories can provide a kind of self-help mechanism.

Additionally, special visa categories, such as New Zealand’s Pacific Access Category and Australia’s Pacific Engagement Visa, enhance opportunities for movement from the Pacific. While these visa categories don’t expressly reference climate change or disasters, that broader context may prompt some people to apply for them. Another example is the bilateral Trans-Tasman Travel Arrangement, which enabled 3,600 New Zealanders to move to Australia after the Christchurch earthquakes in 2010–11. Although the Arrangement was never envisaged as a disaster response tool, it allowed people to take charge of their own lives rather than relying on government intervention.

Sunrise over silhouetted Pacific island.

Image/Jane McAdam

Image/Jane McAdam

Sunrise over silhouetted tropical island.

Image/Jane McAdam

Image/Jane McAdam

The Australia–Tuvalu Falepili Union treaty creates a special human mobility pathway that will enable up to 280 Tuvaluans
to move permanently to Australia each year.

In November 2023, Australia and Tuvalu adopted a bilateral treaty that aims to protect the two countries’ shared interests in security, prosperity and stability, especially given the ‘existential threat posed by climate change’. Known as the Australia–Tuvalu Falepili Union, it includes a provision that creates a special human mobility pathway to Australia. This will enable up to 280 Tuvaluans to move permanently to Australia each year (with scope to adjust), from a current population of about 10,000. The visa is open to anyone who wants to work, study or live in Australia. Unlike other visa schemes for Pacific peoples, a job offer in Australia is not required.

While the visa itself does not mention climate change, the treaty is clearly framed in that context. That is why the Australian government has called it ‘the first agreement of its kind anywhere in the world, providing a pathway for mobility with dignity as climate impacts worsen’.

The first ballot for the visa opened in June 2025 and within the first four days, a third of Tuvalu’s population had applied. This does not necessarily mean that people are clamouring to leave the country. Rather, the visa highlights the importance of creating opportunities for people to move. For many, especially young families, this will be seen as a chance for education and skills training in Australia. Giving people choices about if, when and where they move is empowering and enables them to make informed decisions about their own lives. It is also likely to generate significant remittances to Tuvalu: migration is already a structural component of many Pacific countries’ economies. Importantly, the visa is not just a one-way street: people may move in a circular manner, or may decide to go to Australia for a while and then return home.

To learn more, read these articles by Jane McAdam in The Conversation:

Australia’s offer of climate migration to Tuvalu residents is groundbreaking – and could be a lifeline across the Pacific (Nov 2023)

Fresh details emerge on Australia’s new climate migration visa for Tuvalu residents. An expert explains (April 2024)

1 in 3 Tuvaluans is bidding for a new ‘climate visa’ to Australia – here’s why everyone may ultimately end up applying’ (June 2025)

Watch Jane McAdam deliver her 2022 keynote address at the Refugee Law Initiative conference.

The flexibility of agreements between neighbouring countries

Regional free movement agreements, where they exist, can also help. These agreements make it easier for people to move between countries within a particular region. While they generally spring from (and respond to) economic concerns, they can also be used to support people displaced by disasters, as happened for Caribbean nationals displaced after catastrophic hurricanes in 2017.

In 2021, countries in the East and Horn of Africa adopted the pioneering IGAD Free Movement Protocol. This specifically allows those leaving disaster-affected countries to access safety in neighbouring countries and ensures they will not be sent home until conditions are safe. Ama Frances argued these agreements ‘should be part of the policy response to climate-induced migration because they increase regular migration pathways for climate migrants, enhance economic resilience, and can bypass the political hurdles of creating an international legal status for climate migrants’.

Aerial shot of Pacific atoll.

Image/Jane McAdam

Image/Jane McAdam

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Swimmer exploring lush underwater landscape.

Image/IOM Muse Mohammed

Image/IOM Muse Mohammed